Quotation Siuda, Fabian, Sunde, Uwe. 2021. Disease and demographic development: the legacy of the plague. Journal of Economic Growth. 26 (1), 1-30.




This paper provides an empirical investigation of the hypothesis that population shocks such as the repeated outbreaks of the plague affected the timing of the demographic transition. The empirical analysis uses disaggregate data from Germany and exploits geographic variation in the exposure to medieval plague shocks. The findings document that areas with greater exposure to plague outbreaks exhibited an earlier onset of the demographic transition. The results are consistent with the predictions of the unified growth literature and provide novel insights into the largely unexplored empirical determinants of the timing of the transition from stagnation to growth.


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Publication's profile

Status of publication Published
Affiliation WU
Type of publication Journal article
Journal Journal of Economic Growth
Citation Index SSCI
WU Journalrating 2009 A
WU-Journal-Rating new FIN-A, VW-A, WH-B
Language English
Title Disease and demographic development: the legacy of the plague
Volume 26
Number 1
Year 2021
Page from 1
Page to 30
Reviewed? Y
URL https://rdcu.be/cgQcS
DOI https://doi.org/10.1007/s10887-020-09185-4
Open Access Y
Open Access Link https://rdcu.be/cgQcS
JEL O10, J10


Siuda, Fabian (Details)
Sunde, Uwe (University of Munich, Germany)
Department of Economics (Crespo Cuaresma) (Details)
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