Quotation Bloom, David E., Cafiero, Elizabeth, McGovern, Mark, Prettner, Klaus, Stanciole, Anderson, Weiss, Jonathan, Bakkila, Samuel, Rosenberg, Larry. 2014. The Economic Impact of Non-Communicable Diseases in China and India: Estimates, Projections, and Comparisons. Journal of the Economics of Ageing. 4 100-111.


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Abstract

This study provides estimates of the macroeconomic impact of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) in China and India for the period 2012–2030. Our estimates are derived using the World Health Organization’s EPIC model of economic growth, which focuses on the negative effects of NCDs on labor supply and capital accumulation. We present results for the five main NCDs (cardiovascular disease, cancer, chronic respiratory disease, diabetes, and mental health). Our undiscounted estimates indicate that the cost of the five main NCDs will total USD 23.03 trillion for China and USD 4.58 trillion for India (in 2010 USD). For both countries, the most costly domain is cardiovascular disease. Our analyses also reveal that the costs are much larger in China than in India mainly because of China’s higher and steeper income trajectory, and to a lesser extent its older population. Rough calculations also indicate that WHO’s best buys for addressing the challenge of NCDs are highly cost-beneficial.

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Publication's profile

Status of publication Published
Affiliation External
Type of publication Journal article
Journal Journal of the Economics of Ageing
WU-Journal-Rating new VW-D
Language English
Title The Economic Impact of Non-Communicable Diseases in China and India: Estimates, Projections, and Comparisons
Volume 4
Year 2014
Page from 100
Page to 111
Reviewed? Y
URL https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212828X14000206
DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeoa.2014.08.003
Open Access N

Associations

People
Prettner, Klaus (Details)
External
Bakkila, Samuel (Portland State University, United States/USA)
Bloom, David E. (Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, United States/USA)
Cafiero, Elizabeth (Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, United States/USA)
McGovern, Mark (Queen's University Belfast, United Kingdom)
Rosenberg, Larry (Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, United States/USA)
Stanciole, Anderson (The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, United States/USA)
Weiss, Jonathan (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom)
Organization
Department of Economics (Crespo Cuaresma) (Details)
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