Quotation Hautsch, Nikolaus, Scheuch, Christoph, Voigt, Stefan. 2019. Limits to Arbitrage in Markets with Stochastic Settlement Latency. Vienna Congress on Mathematical Finance (VCMF), Wien, Österreich, 09.09.-11.09. Invited Talk


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Abstract

Distributed ledger technologies rely on consensus protocols confronting traders with random waiting times until the transfer of ownership is accomplished. This time-consuming settlement process exposes arbitrageurs to price risk and imposes limits to arbitrage. We derive theoretical arbitrage boundaries under general assumptions and show that they increase with expected latency, latency uncertainty, spot volatility, and risk aversion. Using high-frequency data from the Bitcoin network, we estimate arbitrage boundaries due to settlement latency of on average 124 basis points, covering 88% of the observed cross-exchange price differences. We document cross-exchange flows chasing arbitrage opportunities only if we account for transaction cost and settlement latency. Settlement through decentralized systems thus induces non-trivial frictions affecting market efficiency and price formation.

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Publication's profile

Status of publication Published
Affiliation External
Type of publication Paper presented at an academic conference or symposium
Language English
Title Limits to Arbitrage in Markets with Stochastic Settlement Latency
Event Vienna Congress on Mathematical Finance (VCMF)
Year 2019
Date 09.09.-11.09.
Country Austria
Location Wien
URL https://fam.tuwien.ac.at/events/vcmf2019/program.php
Invited Talk Y

Associations

People
Hautsch, Nikolaus (Details)
Scheuch, Christoph (Former researcher)
Voigt, Stefan (Former researcher)
Organization
Institute for Financial Research IN (Details)
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