Quotation Lutz, Wolfgang, Goujon, Anne, KC, Samir, Stonawski, Marcin, Stilianakis, Nikolaos, Hrsg. 2018. Demographic and Human Capital Scenarios for the 21st Century: 2018 assessment for 201 countries. Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union.




This volume presents different scenarios of future population and human capital trends in 201 countries of the world to the end of this century to inform the assessment of possible future migration patterns into the EU, as currently carried out by the Centre of Expertise on Population and Migration (CEPAM) Project (collaboration between JRC and IIASA). The study also goes beyond the conventional population projections, which only consider age and sex structures, by taking a multi-dimensional approach through adding educational attainment for all countries and also labour force participation for EU member states. The definition of scenarios in this study follows the narratives of the SSPs (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways) which are widely used in the global change research community.


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Publication's profile

Status of publication Published
Affiliation WU
Type of publication Edited book (editorship)
Language English
Type of published work Book
Title Demographic and Human Capital Scenarios for the 21st Century: 2018 assessment for 201 countries
Location Luxembourg
Publisher Publications Office of the European Union
Year 2018
URL https://doi.org/10.2760/835878
ISBN 978-92-79-78024-0
Open Access Y
Open Access Link https://publications.europa.eu/en/publication-detail/-/publication/e18


Lutz, Wolfgang (Former researcher)
Goujon, Anne (IIASA, VID/ÖAW, Austria)
KC, Samir (ADRI, China)
Stilianakis, Nikolaos (JRC, Italy)
Stonawski, Marcin (IIASA, Austria)
Institute for Statistics and Mathematics IN (Details)
Demography Group AB (Former organization)
Research Institute for Human Capital and Development FI (Former organization)
Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital SO (Former organization)
Research areas (ÖSTAT Classification 'Statistik Austria')
1162 Statistics (Details)
5404 Demography (Details)
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