Quotation Breuss, Fritz. 2017. A Macroecnomic Model of CETA's Impact on Austria. WIFO Working Papers, No. 532, March 2017.


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Abstract

The Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) between the European Union (EU) and Canada is the most ambitious (New generation) free trade agreement the EU has ever negotiated. It is a “mixed” agreement with EU and member states competences. Most elements of the agreement for which the EU has "exclusive competence", including the chapter on tariffs and non-tariff barriers (the dismantling of all barriers to trade in goods and services and market access to foreign direct investment) can – after the European Parliament gave its consent on 15 February 2017 - be applied provisionally in Spring 2017. With a specifically constructed macro-economic trade and growth model for Austria, we simulate the impact of CETA on Austria. CETA will add to Austria’s real GDP 0.3 percentage points in the medium run and will stimulate bilateral trade and FDI. Our model is a small prototype model and can easily be applied to other FTAs the EU is planning. A comparison shows that TTIP – which is “politically” dead now – would have the biggest impact (1.7% more real GDP).The almost finished negotiated EU-Japan FTA would result in an increase of Austria’s real GDP by 0.4% in the medium run.

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Publication's profile

Status of publication Published
Affiliation WU
Type of publication Working/discussion paper, preprint
Language English
Title A Macroecnomic Model of CETA's Impact on Austria
Title of whole publication WIFO Working Papers, No. 532, March 2017
Year 2017
URL http://www.wifo.ac.at/jart/prj3/wifo/main.jart?rel=de&reserve-mode=active&content-id=1298017551022&publikation_id=59418&detail-view=yes
JEL F10, F14, F15, F17

Associations

People
Breuss, Fritz (Details)
Organization
Institute for International Economics IN (Details)
Research areas (Ă–STAT Classification 'Statistik Austria')
5115 European integration (Details)
5334 Political economic policy (Details)
5344 Foreign trade (Details)
5371 Macroeconomics (Details)
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