Quotation Loichinger, Elke, KC, Samir, Lutz, Wolfgang. 2016. A four - dimensional population module for the analysis of future adaptive capacity in the Phang Nga province of Thailand. Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 13 (2015), 263-287.




In this paper we describe an innovative aspect of the population module in the context of an ongoing comprehensive modelling effort to assess future populationenvironment interactions through specific case studies. A particular focus of our study is the vulnerability of coastal populations to environmental factors and their future adaptive capacity. Based on the four-dimensional cross-classification of populations by age, sex, level of education, and labour force participation, our approach builds on a recent body of research that has critically assessed the role of demographic differentials as determinants of differential vulnerability and adaptive capacity. We use Phang Nga, a province in the south of Thailand that was severely affected by the tsunami in 2004, to describe current levels of educational attainment and investigate past trends, which in turn serve as input for detailed education projections. These education projections, in combination with projections of economic activity and household survey results about disaster preparedness, feed into further analysis of future adaptive capacity. Given our specifications and assumptions, we find that the educational composition of the province’s labour force will shift towards higher levels, and that the population of Phang Nga will be better prepared for future disasters.


Press 'enter' for creating the tag

Publication's profile

Status of publication Published
Affiliation WU
Type of publication Journal article
Journal Vienna Yearbook of Population Research
Language English
Title A four - dimensional population module for the analysis of future adaptive capacity in the Phang Nga province of Thailand
Volume 13
Number 2015
Year 2016
Page from 263
Page to 287
Reviewed? Y
URL http://hw.oeaw.ac.at/?arp=0x00344f5b
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.1553/populationyearbook2015s263


Lutz, Wolfgang (Former researcher)
KC, Samir (Shanghai University, IIASA, China)
Loichinger, Elke (Chulalongkorn University, Thailand)
Institute for Statistics and Mathematics IN (Details)
Demography Group AB (Former organization)
Research Institute for Human Capital and Development FI (Former organization)
Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital SO (Former organization)
Research areas (Ă–STAT Classification 'Statistik Austria')
1162 Statistics (Details)
5404 Demography (Details)
Google Scholar: Search