Quotation KC, S, Lutz, Wolfgang. 2014. Demographic Scenarios by Age, Sex and Education Corresponding to the SSP Narratives. Population and Environment 35 (3): 243-260.




In this paper, we translate the five narratives as defined by the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) research community into five alternative demographic scenarios using projections by age, sex and level of education for 171 countries up to 2100. The scenarios represent a significant step beyond past population scenarios used in the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change context, which considered only population size. The definitions of the medium assumptions about future fertility, mortality, migration and education trends are taken from a major new projections effort by the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital, while the assumptions for all the other scenarios were defined in interactions with other groups in the SSP community. Since a full data base with all country-specific results is available online, this paper can only highlight selected results. KEYWORDS: Population projections; Education; Age structure; Scenarios; Country level; SSP


Press 'enter' for creating the tag

Publication's profile

Status of publication Published
Affiliation WU
Type of publication Journal article
Journal Population and Environment
Citation Index SSCI
Language English
Title Demographic Scenarios by Age, Sex and Education Corresponding to the SSP Narratives
Volume 35
Number 3
Year 2014
Page from 243
Page to 260
URL http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11111-014-0205-4


Lutz, Wolfgang (Former researcher)
Institute for Statistics and Mathematics IN (Details)
Demography Group AB (Former organization)
Research Institute for Human Capital and Development FI (Former organization)
Google Scholar: Search