Quotation Lutz, Wolfgang. 2014. A Population Policy Rationale for the Twenty-First Century. Population and Development Review 40 (3): 527-544.




I propose that the primary goal of twenty-first-century population policies should be to strengthen the human resource base for national and global sustainable development. I discuss the shortcomings of the three dominant twentieth-century population policy rationales: acceptance of replacement-level fertility as a demographic goal; realizing a "demographic dividend" from the changing age structure; and filling the "unmet need" for family planning. I demonstrate that in all three cases the explicit incorporation of education into the model changes the picture and makes female education a key population policy priority. Population policies under this new rationale could be viewed as public human resource management. I argue that 20 years after the Cairo ICPD the international community needs a new rationale for population policies in the context of sustainable development and that a focus on human capital development, in particular education and health, is the most promising approach.


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Publication's profile

Status of publication Published
Affiliation WU
Type of publication Journal article
Journal Population and Development Review
Citation Index SSCI
WU-Journal-Rating new FIN-A, VW-B
Language English
Title A Population Policy Rationale for the Twenty-First Century
Volume 40
Number 3
Year 2014
Page from 527
Page to 544
Reviewed? Y
URL http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1728-4457.2014.00696.x


Lutz, Wolfgang (Former researcher)
Institute for Statistics and Mathematics IN (Details)
Demography Group AB (Former organization)
Research Institute for Human Capital and Development FI (Former organization)
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