Quotation Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus, Moser, Mathias, Raggl, Anna. 2013. On the Determinants of Global Bilateral Migration Flows. WWWforEurope Working Paper 5/2013.




We present a method aimed at estimating global bilateral migration flows and assessing their determinants. We employ that fact that available net migration figures for a country are (nonlinear) aggregates of migration flows from and to all other countries of the world in order to construct a statistical model that links the determinants of (unobserved) migration flows to total net migration. Using simple specifications based on the gravity model for international migration, we find that migration flows can be explained by standard gravity model variables such as GDP differences, distance or bilateral population. The usefulness of such models is exemplified by combining estimated specifications with population and GDP projections in order to assess quantitatively the expected changes in migration flows to Europe in the coming decades.


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Publication's profile

Status of publication Published
Affiliation WU
Type of publication Working/discussion paper, preprint
Language English
Title On the Determinants of Global Bilateral Migration Flows
Title of whole publication WWWforEurope Working Paper 5/2013
Year 2013
URL http://www.wifo.ac.at/publikationen?detail-view=yes&publikation_id=46849


Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus (Details)
Moser, Mathias (Details)
Raggl, Anna (Former researcher)
Department of Economics (Crespo Cuaresma) (Details)
Demography Group AB (Former organization)
Research Institute for Human Capital and Development FI (Former organization)
Competence Center for Sustainability Transformation and Responsibility WE (Details)
Economics of Inequality FI (Details)
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