Quotation Katharina, Kowalski, Stagl, Sigrid, Madlener, Reinhard, Omann, Ines. 2009. Sustainable energy futures: Methodological challenges in combining scenariosand participatory multi-criteria analysis. European Journal of Operational Research (EJOR) 197 S. 1063-1074.


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Abstract

This paper analyses the combined use of scenario building and participatory multi-criteria analysis (PMCA) in the context of renewable energy from a methodological point of view. Scenarios have been applied increasingly in decision-making about long-term consequences by projecting different possible pathways into the future. Scenario analysis accounts for a higher degree of complexity inherent in systems than the study of individual projects or technologies. MCA is a widely used appraisal method, which assesses options on the basis of a multi-dimensional criteria framework and calculates rankings of options. In our study, five renewable energy scenarios for Austria for 2020 were appraised against 17 sustainability criteria. A similar process was undertaken on the local level, where four renewable energy scenarios were developed and evaluated against 15 criteria. On both levels, the scenario development consisted of two stages: first an exploratory stage with stakeholder engagement and second a modelling stage with forecasting-type scenarios. Thus, the scenarios consist of a narrative part (storyline) and a modeled quantitative part. The preferences of national and local energy stakeholders were included in the form of criteria weights derived from interviews and participatory group processes, respectively.

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Publication's profile

Status of publication Published
Affiliation WU
Type of publication Journal article
Journal European Journal of Operational Research (EJOR)
Citation Index SCI
WU Journalrating 2009 A
WU-Journal-Rating new FIN-A, INF-A, STRAT-A, WH-A
Language English
Title Sustainable energy futures: Methodological challenges in combining scenariosand participatory multi-criteria analysis
Volume 197
Year 2009
Page from 1063
Page to 1074

Associations

People
Stagl, Sigrid (Details)
External
Katharina, Kowalski
Madlener, Reinhard
Omann, Ines
Organization
Institute for Multi-Level Governance and Development IN (Details)
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