Quotation Leitner, Christoph, Zeileis, Achim, Hornik, Kurt. 2009. Is Federer Stronger in a Tournament Without Nadal? An Evaluation of Odds and Seedings for Wimbledon 2009. Research Report Series, Department of Statistics and Mathematics, Report 94.


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Abstract

Wimbledon is one of the most popular annual sports tournament. In the Gentlemen's Single 2009 the top seeded and defending champion Rafael Nadal withdrew from the tournament due to injury days prior to the tournament. Here, we try to analyze the effects of Nadal's withdrawal especially on the ability/strength of the main competitor Roger Federer by using bookmakers expectancies to estimate the unknown abilities of the players and compare them for two different odds sets. The comparison shows that the bookmakers did not incorporate Nadal's withdrawal adequately, assigning too high expected winning probabilities to Federer and Murray.

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Publication's profile

Status of publication Published
Affiliation WU
Type of publication Working/discussion paper, preprint
Language English
Title Is Federer Stronger in a Tournament Without Nadal? An Evaluation of Odds and Seedings for Wimbledon 2009
Title of whole publication Research Report Series, Department of Statistics and Mathematics, Report 94
Year 2009
URL http://epub.wu-wien.ac.at/dyn/virlib/wp/showentry?ID=epub-wu-01_f62&from=NEW&style=blank

Associations

People
Leitner, Christoph (Details)
Zeileis, Achim (Former researcher)
Hornik, Kurt (Details)
Organization
Institute for Banking and Finance IN (Former organization)
Institut f. Präsides SO (Details)
Institute for Statistics and Mathematics IN (Details)
Research Institute for Computational Methods FI (Details)
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