Quotation Lutz, Wolfgang, Skribekk, V.. 2005. Policies addressing the tempo effect in low-fertility countries. Population and Development Review 31 (4): 699-720.




The possible negative consequences of current low fertility levels are causing increasing concern, particularly in countries where the total fertility rate is below 1.5. Social inertia and self-reinforcing processes may make it difficult to return to higher levels once fertility has been very low for some time, creating a possible "low-fertility trap." Policies explicitly addressing the fertility-depressing effect of increases in the mean age at child-bearing (the tempo effect) may be a way to raise period fertility to somewhat higher levels and help escape the "low-fertility trap" before it closes. Reforms in the school system may affect the timing of childbearing by lowering the age at completion of education. A more efficient school system, which provides the same qualifications with a younger school-leaving age, is potentially capable of increasing period fertility and hence exerting a rejuvenating effect on the age composition, even if the levels of cohort fertility remain unchanged. Such policies may also have a positive effect on completed cohort fertility.


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Publication's profile

Status of publication Published
Affiliation WU
Type of publication Journal article
Journal Population and Development Review
Citation Index SSCI
WU-Journal-Rating new FIN-A, VW-B
Language English
Title Policies addressing the tempo effect in low-fertility countries
Volume 31
Number 4
Year 2005
Page from 699
Page to 720
URL http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/118692704/abstract


Lutz, Wolfgang (Former researcher)
Skribekk, V.
Institute for Statistics and Mathematics IN (Details)
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