Cash Flow Timing and the Cross-section of Expected Returns

Type Dissertation Project

Funding Bodies
  • Austrian Science Fund

Duration Feb. 1, 2020 - Aug. 25, 2021

  • Institute for Financial Research IN (Details)


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  • Walter, Dominik (Details) Project Head
  • Weber, RĂ¼diger (Details) Project Head

Abstract (English)

Popular measures of stocks' cash-flow duration mix up information on discount rates and the timing of cash flows leading to a mechanical relation between duration and expected returns. This is problematic when studying the relation between cash-flow timing and average returns. This is because the employed measures are monotonic
functions of market prices and therefore of each stocks' true market discount rate - the actual object of interest. Using measures of cash-
ow timing, we find no unconditional relation between timing and expected returns. In recessions however, long timing stocks have on average lower returns.